2024 Oscar predictions: Who will win in the top categories

By Alexandra Heilbron on March 7, 2024 | 5 Comments

Cillian Murphy in OppenheimerAlthough this year’s Academy Awards seem pretty predictable, you can never count out surprises, such as last year when Brendan Fraser won for his role in The Whale, narrowly beating out Austin Butler, who gave an outstanding performance in Elvis. This year, Oppenheimer leads the pack with 13 nominations, and the wins it has picked up at major award ceremonies leave no doubt that it’s going to win numerous awards this Sunday.

Check out our predictions for the top awards at this year’s Academy Awards, which take place Sunday, March 10, 2024 at the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood and will air live on ABC and CTV at 7 p.m. ET / 4 p.m. PT. Click here to print out your own sheet that lists all the nominations and check them off as the winners are announced. ~Alexandra Heilbron

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
– Predicted winner
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

Although there were several films that stood out, such as The Zone of Interest for its chilling portrayal of the Holocaust; and Barbie, which won the hearts of many moviegoers; Oppenheimer is a majestic film that has won best picture from the Critics Choice Awards, BAFTAs, Golden Globes and People’s Choice Awards.

Bradley CooperMaestro
Colman DomingoRustin
Paul GiamattiThe Holdovers
Cillian MurphyOppenheimer – Predicted winner
Jeffrey WrightAmerican Fiction

Every actor in this category gave an award-worthy performance, but with Cillian Murphy picking up the trophy at every major (and minor) event, he’s definitely getting the Oscar at this year’s ceremony. Who should win? Colman Domingo gave a standout performance in Rustin, all the more notable if you saw him in this year’s The Color Purple, in which he played a man so different that he was almost unrecognizable from his title role in Rustin.

Annette BeningNyad
Lily GladstoneKillers of the Flower Moon – Predicted winner
Sandra HüllerAnatomy of a Fall
Carey MulliganMaestro
Emma StonePoor Things

This category could go one of two ways. Emma Stone picked up BAFTA, Golden Globe and Critics Choice  awards for her role in Poor Things, while newcomer Lily Gladstone, who played her role close to the heart, has won a Golden Globe and SAG award for Killers of the Flower Moon. Emma Stone went out of her comfort zone to give an over-the-top performance of a woman who has to start all over when she’s given a second life. Still, Lily Gladstone will likely snag this award. And even though Carey Mulligan hasn’t been picking up awards for her role in Maestro, in my eyes her performance was the most nuanced and finely tuned. Despite the title of the film referring to Leonard Bernstein, Carey stole the movie with her very real, heartbreaking performance.

Sterling K. BrownAmerican Fiction
Robert De NiroKillers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr.Oppenheimer – Predicted winner
Ryan GoslingBarbie
Mark RuffaloPoor Things

Robert Downey Jr. was almost unrecognizable as Lewis Strauss, the man who tries to get in Oppenheimer’s way at every turn. Having picked up every major award to date, it would be a major upset if he didn’t win the Oscar. Although Ryan Gosling won’t win for Barbie, he definitely deserved to be nominated, having stolen every scene he was in. Not many performers in comedies or musicals get nominations, so it was a pleasant surprise to have his talent recognized by the Academy.

Emily BluntOppenheimer
Danielle BrooksThe Color Purple
America FerreraBarbie
Jodie FosterNyad
Da’Vine Joy RandolphThe Holdovers – Predicted winner

Newcomer Da’Vine Joy Randolph turned in a wonderful performance in The Holdovers and has also won every major award, but Emily Blunt has been overlooked this awards season. She played so against type that she stood out in Oppenheimer as the title role’s feisty, angry wife. Nonetheless, the award will go to Da’Vine Joy Randolph.

Justine TrietAnatomy of a Fall
Martin ScorseseKillers of the Flower Moon
Christopher NolanOppenheimer – Predicted winner
Yorgos LanthimosPoor Things
Jonathan GlazerThe Zone of Interest

There’s not even a question in anybody’s mind that Christopher Nolan will take home the Oscar for Oppenheimer. This is his eighth Oscar nomination and will be his first win, having already won the BAFTA, Critics Choice, Directors Guild of America and Golden Globe awards for Oppenheimer.

The Boy and the Heron – Predicted winner
Robot Dreams
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Since it was second runner-up for the People’s Choice award at last year’s Toronto International Film Festival, The Boy and the Heron has taken home numerous awards, including a BAFTA and Golden Globe. However, it’s got competition from Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, which had mixed reactions from moviegoers. Some loved its outrageous, fast-moving comic book feel, and others were disappointed and distracted by the barrage of colors and movement. However, since Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse won an Annie (animation awards) and a Critics Choice award, it’s possible that it may create an upset and take home the Oscar.

Click here to enter our 2024 Oscars contest for a 55″ Smart 4K TV and come back on Sunday as we update the winners live during the Academy Awards.

Comments & Discussion

  1. Ray Neault • March 7, 2024 @ 10:07 AM

    I watch 156 movies a year and in my opinion BeeKeeper is one of the best movies I have seen. It has action the best action scenes I have ever witnessed and the plot is parallel to Hunter bidens life. I have seen that other people said it was dumb, but did they actually watch this movie, did they? There was only one part that I saw that there was no explanation for and that’s where Jason was tending to his bees and the bad guys were watching him then he went to his garage and prepared for them. How did he know they were going to attack? I watched it 5 times and I’m not done. GREAT MOVIE!!!

  2. J • March 7, 2024 @ 10:16 AM

    The only movie I’ve seen out of all the nominations is Barbie. I used to make sure I saw all the nominations prior to any award show, but since Covid struck, I’ve been to the theatre once (Barbie). The award shows, in my opinion, have gotten rather boring the last several years, partly due to Covid restrictions in the past. Still undecided if I will tune in this year.

  3. Bob Giarda • March 7, 2024 @ 12:51 PM

    Ever since Will Smith physically attacked Chris Rock live onstage during the awards broadcast I’ve not been a fan of the show. Very disappointing.

  4. Barbara Muszik • March 7, 2024 @ 2:38 PM

    I agree with Ray Neault. I loved the Beekeeper movie too!!! It was to show how real scammers can ruin a person’s life in one touch of the keyboard!! There is so much going on in the world and most of these scum bags never get caught!!! I don’t understand with all the technical advances nowadays they have not come up with something that will detect where these scammers call from??!! It is about time these people are jailed and forced to pay for stealing honest hard working citizens money!!! In the Beekeeper Jason Statham goes all commando on the whole shady operation and tries to wipe them all out!!

  5. Dani • March 7, 2024 @ 3:42 PM

    The Beekeeper is 2024, so it wouldn’t be nominated this year. Check next year, maybe it will get some.

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